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Thursday, April 11, 2013

The Shootout: If It's Broke, Fix It

Mason Raymond employing the controversial spin-o-rama.

After the 2005 lockout, the NHL knew that it needed to do something to attract more fans. They looked at other leagues around North America, saw the skill and pageantry on display in the shootout, and decided to add it at the end of tie games. That's right, no more ties, a winner, a loser, and every body's happy. Right?

Well, eight years is more than enough time to tell how much the shootout has affected the game. Some friends and I were having a discussion recently, and nearly all of them felt the shootout should be abolished. "It's just a skills competition! It's unfair to teams without top end talent! It makes overtime meaningless! It affects team's playoff positioning!", were their common complaints, views shared by many other fans and media around the hockey world. I, however, am not of the opinion that the shootout needs to be abolished. I just think that if it's broke, fix it.

I'll address the last complaint first, that it affects team's playoff positioning. Well duh, of course it does. So do injuries, power plays, missed penalty calls, etc etc. That's the reality of hockey and the shootout isn't going anywhere, so deal with it. The surprising season the Blue Jackets are having shouldn't be worth any less, and their playoff position any less assured because they have 5 shootout wins. And should the Jackets, for example, finish tied for 8th, then it's regulation wins that break the tie in the standings. Problem already solved.

But does it make overtime meaningless? Kind of.

Along with the new rule changes following the lockout, there was also a change in the point systems. Previously each team was awarded one point each in the standings at the end of overtime, for a tie game. However that changed, and now teams only need to be tied after regulation in order to get their point. This creates an imbalance. The solution is simple, don't award any points until overtime is completed, just like the system used to be. This would encourage more teams to go for the extra point in the third period and overtime instead of just waiting for the end of regulation, as happens so often. People often say that the overtime itself needs to change, and they are partially correct, but not for the reason they think they are.

Two other phrases that are often brought up are that there should be 3 on 3 overtime following 4 on 4 to break ties, and that the shootout is unfair because it's a skills competition. I have a big problem with this, as those arguments seem counter-intuitive. How is 3 on 3 any less of a skills competition, or any more fair to the lesser skilled team? It's not, they are one and the same. However the solution to this "problem" is again simple: 4 on 4 for ten minutes, 5 man shootout. Done.

A ten minute 4 on 4 period is more likely to determine a winner before the shootout than the current system. Additionally, with teams having to reach deeper into their bench rather than just rolling the same 3 pairs of forwards for 5 minutes, it gives the deeper teams an advantage. Same with the 5 man shootout, it's not just your 3 all-stars or shootout specialists taking shots. This appeases those who say it takes away from the team aspect of determining a winner.

So no points awarded until after a ten minute, 4 on 4 overtime, and a 5 man shootout to determine the winner. There, fixed. Wasn't that hard either.

Any thoughts or comments? As always, feel free to get involved with the conversation, and share if you like my content. No snap shots, as that article yesterday covered most of the things I would add to this part of the post, but I still have some gif fun for you. Here's Corey Perry being his usual self and employing some unique defensive strategy against Jamie McGinn:



4 comments:

  1. Not a fan of the 3on3 stuff, even as a Wings fan, we got the required skill for sure. I agree that 4on4 for a longer time sounds like a nice solution of that, not sure if there's a need for 5 shooters either.

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  2. I agree with the notion that the overtime period should be extended to allow for a team's depth to be used. It makes sense.

    But I'm not as sold on the need for five shoot out rounds. My anecdotal viewing leads me to believe that a coach does not always put his top scores out in the shoot out, but rather the players who are most likely to win the game in that situation. Also, looking at the statistical side of it, the most successful NHLer with more than 20 attempts? You guessed it, Frans Nielsen. Looking down the list, (http://www.nhl.com/ice/shootoutstats.htm?fetchKey=20132ALLSAZAll&viewName=shootoutSkaterCareerTotals&sort=shootingPctg&pg=1) it's a bit of a crap shoot, and not necessarily an all star cast.

    Also, looking at this issue from another perspective, it seems to me that the teams that do well in the regular season continue to do well in the playoffs, where the system reverts back to the regular sudden death model (with last year's notable exception, which I would argue had more to do with LA peaking at the right time).

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    1. Though when you just look at the totals, you'll find the top stars right there, they'll eventually take lots more shots, and obviously also miss a few more. Parise, Datsyuk, Koivu, Kane, Toews, etc.

      And yeah, last years' playoffs were a bit of a festival of the unexpected. The Kings' run (also over PT winning Vancouver), the crazy series of Philly and Pittsburgh, Rinne's goaltending vs Detroit, WSH beating Bruins and so on.

      I guess it might get even more unpredictable this shortened season.

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    2. The logic behind my suggestion regarding the move to 5 shooters is that it would lessen the affect that "shootout specialists" such as Nielsen, Jokinen, etc. have on the outcomes of games. If the complaint is that the shootout takes away the team aspect of determining a winner, then expanding the length of the shootout should mitigate that "problem". Thanks for the comment ;)

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